Real Murcia vs Elche analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.3%
Win probability
3.01
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.1%
9.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1942 |
MAL
4 - 1
MUR
52%
23%
26%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1942 |
MUR
5 - 0
CAD
65%
18%
17%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1942 |
HER
3 - 0
MUR
67%
17%
16%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1942 |
MUR
3 - 0
ALC
78%
13%
9%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 1942 |
FCB
5 - 1
MUR
82%
11%
7%
|
61 | 83 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1942 |
ELC
3 - 1
JFC
42%
23%
36%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1942 |
SDC
2 - 0
ELC
75%
14%
11%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1942 |
MAL
2 - 1
ELC
77%
13%
10%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1942 |
ELC
1 - 1
CAD
36%
23%
41%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1942 |
VCF
2 - 1
ELC
89%
7%
4%
|
45 | 87 | 42 | 0 |