Real Murcia vs Elche analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.2%
Win probability
3.28
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.1%
5-0
5%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.9%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.2%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.5%
6.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1940 |
IMP
0 - 1
MUR
24%
21%
55%
|
60 | 33 | 27 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1940 |
MUR
0 - 2
IMP
85%
10%
5%
|
61 | 37 | 24 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 1940 |
CAR
2 - 0
MUR
27%
22%
52%
|
62 | 39 | 23 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 1940 |
MUR
6 - 3
BUR
86%
9%
5%
|
62 | 27 | 35 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1940 |
MUR
3 - 0
FER
80%
12%
8%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1940 |
ELC
1 - 2
FER
49%
21%
30%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1940 |
ALI
3 - 2
ELC
53%
20%
27%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 1940 |
BUR
5 - 2
ELC
34%
22%
44%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | -2 |
| 04 Feb. 1940 |
ELC
4 - 1
IMP
75%
14%
11%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1940 |
IMP
3 - 2
ELC
45%
22%
34%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | -1 |