Real Murcia vs Elche analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.4%
Win probability
3.08
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.6%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.3%
8.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1935 |
HER
1 - 0
MUR
59%
19%
22%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1935 |
MUR
2 - 3
HER
63%
18%
19%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 1935 |
OSA
3 - 0
MUR
63%
18%
20%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1935 |
MUR
4 - 2
SAB
67%
17%
16%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1935 |
MUR
3 - 0
CEL
55%
20%
25%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1935 |
ELC
5 - 0
MAL
48%
22%
30%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1935 |
GIM
5 - 2
ELC
38%
23%
39%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 1935 |
ELC
0 - 3
GRA
50%
23%
27%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 1935 |
ELC
2 - 2
HER
45%
24%
31%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1935 |
CAS
0 - 1
ELC
55%
21%
24%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |