Real Murcia vs Ilicitano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.6%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
16.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.4%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
8.9%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1969 |
BUR
2 - 0
MUR
46%
27%
27%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1969 |
MUR
1 - 0
CEL
31%
31%
38%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 1969 |
SEV
2 - 1
MUR
71%
19%
10%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1969 |
MUR
2 - 0
SPO
39%
28%
33%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1969 |
MLL
1 - 1
MUR
65%
22%
13%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Ilicitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1969 |
ELC
0 - 2
ALA
62%
20%
18%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1969 |
ELC
1 - 1
BUR
49%
24%
27%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1969 |
CEL
2 - 0
ELC
84%
12%
4%
|
49 | 76 | 27 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1969 |
ELC
3 - 3
SEV
17%
26%
57%
|
49 | 76 | 27 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1969 |
SPO
2 - 1
ELC
83%
12%
5%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | 0 |