Real Murcia vs CD San Fernando analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
12.3%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 1963 |
RJA
1 - 3
MUR
57%
24%
19%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1963 |
MUR
3 - 1
VAL
63%
21%
16%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 1963 |
SEV
0 - 0
MUR
52%
24%
25%
|
63 | 42 | 21 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 1963 |
MUR
2 - 1
UDL
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 1963 |
ELD
1 - 0
MUR
48%
26%
26%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 1963 |
SFE
1 - 1
REC
50%
26%
24%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1963 |
UDL
2 - 0
SFE
65%
20%
15%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 1963 |
SFE
3 - 2
ELD
62%
20%
19%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1963 |
HER
3 - 1
SFE
71%
16%
13%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 1963 |
SFE
1 - 1
CAD
42%
26%
32%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |