Real Murcia vs CD San Fernando analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
16.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1961 |
VIL
0 - 3
MUR
44%
24%
32%
|
60 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1961 |
MUR
3 - 0
RJA
58%
22%
20%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1961 |
CFC
0 - 1
MUR
52%
22%
26%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1961 |
MUR
1 - 4
HER
58%
23%
20%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1961 |
LEV
2 - 2
MUR
68%
19%
14%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1961 |
SFE
3 - 3
VAL
51%
25%
25%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1961 |
CEU
1 - 1
SFE
56%
24%
20%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1961 |
SFE
0 - 1
UDL
45%
26%
29%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1961 |
SFE
4 - 2
VIL
75%
15%
10%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1961 |
RJA
1 - 0
SFE
57%
23%
20%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |