Real Murcia vs Córdoba CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
26.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
ELC
1 - 0
MUR
61%
23%
16%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
MUR
1 - 3
CEL
41%
28%
31%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
ROD
3 - 2
MUR
13%
21%
66%
|
70 | 36 | 34 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2011 |
MUR
1 - 0
CAR
58%
23%
19%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
MUR
1 - 1
HER
37%
28%
35%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Córdoba CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
VAD
2 - 0
CCF
66%
20%
14%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
CCF
1 - 1
ALM
26%
25%
49%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
RJA
0 - 0
CCF
19%
24%
57%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
CCF
1 - 4
SEV
18%
22%
61%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2011 |
HER
1 - 2
CCF
60%
21%
19%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |