Real Murcia vs Constància analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
13.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1968 |
REC
0 - 0
MUR
46%
29%
26%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1968 |
MUR
0 - 0
XER
65%
21%
15%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 1968 |
VAL
3 - 1
MUR
62%
21%
17%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 1968 |
MUR
1 - 0
CEU
58%
25%
18%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 1968 |
CAS
1 - 0
MUR
51%
26%
23%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Constància
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1968 |
CON
0 - 1
GRA
29%
30%
41%
|
46 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1968 |
CDT
4 - 0
CON
64%
21%
15%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 1968 |
REC
2 - 0
CON
58%
23%
19%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1968 |
CON
2 - 2
XER
52%
25%
24%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1968 |
VAL
8 - 0
CON
73%
16%
12%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -2 |