Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 5-3
Real Murcia vs CD Colonia Moscardó analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.9%
Win probability
3.15
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.3%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.5%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.2%
6.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1974 |
MUR
1 - 0
ESP
45%
28%
27%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1974 |
MUR
2 - 2
CEL
51%
28%
21%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1974 |
COL
2 - 2
MUR
37%
27%
36%
|
67 | 44 | 23 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 1973 |
RAC
2 - 0
MUR
51%
28%
21%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 1973 |
MUR
0 - 1
ELC
57%
25%
18%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
CD Colonia Moscardó
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1974 |
COL
1 - 0
CFP
64%
23%
13%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1974 |
RSO
3 - 0
COL
62%
23%
15%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -2 |
| 02 Jan. 1974 |
COL
2 - 2
MUR
37%
27%
36%
|
44 | 67 | 23 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 1973 |
COL
1 - 0
OSA
79%
15%
6%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1973 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
COL
29%
33%
38%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | -1 |