Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 3-5
Real Murcia vs Castellón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
19.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1932 |
CAS
3 - 0
MUR
53%
21%
26%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1932 |
OVI
6 - 0
MUR
56%
20%
24%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 1932 |
MUR
4 - 0
ATM
46%
21%
33%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 1932 |
DEP
2 - 1
MUR
55%
21%
24%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 1932 |
MUR
3 - 1
CAS
71%
16%
13%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1932 |
CAS
3 - 0
MUR
53%
21%
26%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1932 |
CAS
3 - 0
SPO
44%
22%
34%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 1932 |
CAS
2 - 0
EUR
63%
19%
18%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 1932 |
CAS
2 - 0
SEV
52%
22%
26%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 1932 |
MUR
3 - 1
CAS
71%
16%
13%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |