Real Murcia vs Castellón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
15.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1930 |
OVI
5 - 2
MUR
61%
19%
20%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1930 |
MUR
2 - 1
OVI
51%
21%
28%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 1930 |
DBN
0 - 5
MUR
19%
22%
59%
|
61 | 32 | 29 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1930 |
MUR
10 - 0
DBN
86%
9%
5%
|
61 | 33 | 28 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1930 |
MUR
3 - 4
LEO
71%
16%
13%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1930 |
CAS
0 - 2
RUN
35%
23%
43%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1930 |
RUN
0 - 1
CAS
81%
11%
7%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 1930 |
CAS
7 - 1
ATM
30%
23%
47%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | +3 |
| 13 Apr. 1930 |
ATM
2 - 1
CAS
81%
12%
7%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1930 |
CAS
1 - 0
ATM
28%
23%
49%
|
56 | 76 | 20 | +2 |