Real Murcia vs Club Atlético De Ceuta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
18%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1968 |
CAS
1 - 0
MUR
51%
26%
23%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1968 |
MUR
0 - 0
RJA
71%
19%
11%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 1968 |
HER
0 - 1
MUR
72%
18%
10%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 1968 |
MUR
4 - 0
MLL
41%
29%
30%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +2 |
| 07 Jan. 1968 |
MUR
0 - 0
ALC
70%
19%
12%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Club Atlético De Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1968 |
CEU
1 - 1
GRA
43%
28%
29%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1968 |
CON
1 - 2
CEU
46%
26%
28%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1968 |
CEU
1 - 0
REC
61%
22%
17%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 1968 |
XER
1 - 0
CEU
44%
26%
30%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 1968 |
RJA
0 - 2
CEU
46%
26%
29%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | +1 |