Real Murcia vs Club Atlético De Ceuta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.2%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.1%
3-0
9%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.3%
10.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1959 |
MAL
0 - 1
MUR
59%
22%
19%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1959 |
MUR
4 - 0
CDB
65%
19%
16%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 1959 |
ELD
0 - 2
MUR
59%
21%
19%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1958 |
SFE
2 - 0
MUR
60%
21%
19%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 1958 |
SAB
1 - 4
MUR
81%
12%
8%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | +2 |
Matches
Club Atlético De Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1959 |
CEU
0 - 1
PUL
56%
21%
23%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1959 |
RJA
3 - 0
CEU
78%
14%
9%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1959 |
CEU
0 - 0
EXT
59%
20%
21%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1958 |
CEU
0 - 0
LEV
46%
23%
31%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1958 |
CEU
3 - 4
CON
86%
10%
5%
|
51 | 17 | 34 | 0 |