Real Murcia vs Celta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
40%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1955 |
VCF
4 - 1
MUR
83%
11%
6%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1955 |
MUR
1 - 1
RMA
21%
22%
58%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 1955 |
SEV
4 - 1
MUR
84%
10%
6%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 1955 |
MUR
0 - 1
VAD
40%
23%
37%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1955 |
ALA
5 - 2
MUR
66%
19%
16%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1955 |
CEL
2 - 2
ATM
47%
22%
31%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1955 |
RSO
2 - 1
CEL
58%
20%
22%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1955 |
CEL
3 - 2
CUL
78%
14%
9%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1955 |
ESP
6 - 1
CEL
65%
18%
17%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1955 |
CEL
2 - 0
ATH
35%
23%
42%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |