Real Murcia vs Celta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
33.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1946 |
HER
2 - 0
MUR
46%
23%
30%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1946 |
MUR
0 - 2
FCB
31%
24%
45%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 1946 |
OVI
0 - 0
MUR
80%
12%
8%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1946 |
MUR
1 - 0
RMA
37%
24%
40%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 1946 |
MUR
2 - 2
VCF
32%
25%
44%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1946 |
CEL
1 - 1
VCF
49%
21%
30%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1946 |
ATH
2 - 1
CEL
79%
12%
9%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1946 |
CEL
6 - 1
ATM
51%
22%
27%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 1946 |
ALC
4 - 2
CEL
43%
21%
36%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 1946 |
CEL
4 - 1
ESP
60%
19%
21%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |