Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 1-2
Real Murcia vs CD Toledo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
32.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 1994 |
MUR
1 - 4
GIM
69%
19%
12%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1994 |
FIG
1 - 0
MUR
42%
29%
30%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 1994 |
MUR
2 - 0
BEN
69%
19%
11%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 1994 |
ONT
2 - 1
MUR
33%
29%
38%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 1994 |
MUR
1 - 2
VAL
72%
18%
10%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 1994 |
CDT
3 - 2
MLL
41%
28%
31%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1994 |
CDB
0 - 0
CDT
47%
26%
27%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1994 |
CDT
0 - 2
MER
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 1994 |
HER
1 - 2
CDT
54%
25%
21%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1994 |
CDT
2 - 0
OSA
41%
27%
32%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | +1 |