Real Murcia vs CD Málaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
15%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1985 |
FCB
1 - 1
MUR
47%
27%
26%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1985 |
MUR
4 - 1
YEC
85%
10%
5%
|
74 | 25 | 49 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1985 |
MUR
2 - 0
CAS
67%
19%
14%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 1985 |
MUR
3 - 0
ALB
71%
19%
10%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1985 |
YEC
0 - 2
MUR
27%
27%
47%
|
73 | 25 | 48 | 0 |
Matches
CD Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1985 |
MAL
2 - 1
CDT
63%
21%
16%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1985 |
OVI
1 - 0
MAL
39%
30%
31%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1985 |
MAL
1 - 3
DEP
66%
21%
14%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1985 |
MAL
5 - 0
CDV
86%
10%
4%
|
74 | 13 | 61 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1985 |
RMC
2 - 0
MAL
55%
25%
21%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |