Real Murcia vs CD Málaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
16%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1958 |
CDB
2 - 0
MUR
60%
21%
19%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1958 |
MUR
1 - 0
ELD
72%
16%
12%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 1958 |
MUR
2 - 2
SDC
77%
15%
9%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 May. 1958 |
HER
0 - 1
MUR
65%
20%
16%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1958 |
MUR
6 - 1
PUL
71%
17%
12%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
CD Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1958 |
MAL
0 - 0
PUL
70%
16%
13%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1958 |
RJA
6 - 3
MAL
69%
18%
14%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 1958 |
MAL
3 - 0
PUL
70%
17%
14%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +2 |
| 25 May. 1958 |
XER
2 - 3
MAL
57%
22%
21%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 May. 1958 |
MAL
4 - 0
SFE
60%
21%
19%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |