Real Murcia vs CD Málaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.2%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.3%
9.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 1957 |
EXT
2 - 0
MUR
47%
24%
29%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1957 |
MUR
2 - 0
SDC
84%
11%
6%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 1957 |
PUE
3 - 0
MUR
31%
24%
45%
|
69 | 38 | 31 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 1957 |
MUR
3 - 0
GRA
73%
16%
12%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 1957 |
MUR
3 - 0
CAD
85%
10%
5%
|
68 | 47 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
CD Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 1957 |
MAL
2 - 0
CDT
67%
19%
15%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1957 |
MAL
2 - 0
EXT
72%
16%
12%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1957 |
SDC
2 - 0
MAL
61%
20%
19%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 1957 |
MAL
3 - 0
PUE
79%
12%
8%
|
59 | 39 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1957 |
MAL
1 - 0
GRA
56%
22%
22%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |