Real Murcia vs CD Málaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
32%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1951 |
CEL
4 - 1
MUR
79%
12%
9%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1951 |
MUR
2 - 0
RAC
43%
22%
35%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 1951 |
VAD
4 - 0
MUR
69%
17%
15%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 1951 |
FCB
2 - 1
MUR
83%
10%
7%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1951 |
MUR
1 - 3
ATM
25%
22%
54%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
CD Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1951 |
MAL
2 - 1
ATM
40%
22%
38%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1951 |
ATH
3 - 1
MAL
83%
10%
7%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 1951 |
MAL
2 - 0
SEV
50%
21%
29%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 1951 |
DEP
2 - 2
MAL
64%
19%
18%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1951 |
MAL
2 - 0
ALC
73%
15%
12%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |