Real Murcia vs CD Guadalajara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
15.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+81%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2012 |
ALC
3 - 0
MUR
62%
23%
16%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
MUR
1 - 0
SAB
64%
21%
14%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
FCB
1 - 0
MUR
67%
19%
14%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
MUR
2 - 6
HER
34%
30%
36%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
DEP
3 - 1
MUR
72%
19%
10%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
CD Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 4
GIR
33%
26%
41%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2012 |
CCF
3 - 2
GUA
71%
19%
10%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 0
GIM
43%
27%
30%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
ALC
0 - 1
GUA
43%
27%
30%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
REC
4 - 2
GUA
67%
22%
11%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | -1 |