Real Murcia vs Pvo. El Ejido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
13.5%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
LEV
1 - 1
MUR
35%
30%
36%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
MUR
1 - 1
PUL
70%
20%
11%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
UDS
0 - 0
MUR
27%
27%
46%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
MUR
0 - 1
XER
70%
19%
11%
|
51 | 34 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
MUR
1 - 0
ALZ
69%
20%
11%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Pvo. El Ejido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
CDE
0 - 1
HER
29%
27%
44%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
ELD
3 - 1
CDE
24%
27%
50%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | -2 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
CDE
0 - 2
NUC
34%
27%
39%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
CSP
1 - 1
CDE
35%
26%
39%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
LEV
0 - 0
CDE
46%
26%
28%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |