Real Murcia vs CD Castellón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
24.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1996 |
UES
2 - 1
MUR
48%
25%
27%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1996 |
MUR
1 - 1
SAB
66%
20%
14%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1996 |
TER
1 - 1
MUR
56%
23%
21%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1996 |
GRA
2 - 1
MUR
53%
24%
24%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 1996 |
HOS
2 - 3
MUR
47%
25%
28%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1996 |
CAS
0 - 0
HOS
48%
28%
25%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1996 |
FIG
4 - 0
CAS
47%
27%
26%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 1996 |
CAS
1 - 1
FCA
44%
29%
27%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1996 |
GAN
3 - 1
CAS
27%
28%
45%
|
55 | 38 | 17 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 1996 |
CAS
2 - 0
YEC
55%
25%
21%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |