Real Murcia vs Atlético Baleares analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.7%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.5%
11.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1951 |
RCD
0 - 0
MUR
56%
20%
23%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1951 |
MUR
2 - 0
GRA
65%
18%
17%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 1951 |
HER
1 - 1
MUR
58%
20%
22%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1951 |
MUR
4 - 1
SLA
67%
17%
16%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1951 |
VAL
2 - 0
MUR
53%
21%
26%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Baleares
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1951 |
ATB
2 - 3
MAL
29%
24%
48%
|
48 | 78 | 30 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1951 |
RCD
2 - 1
ATB
70%
16%
14%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 1951 |
ATB
5 - 0
BAL
44%
21%
35%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +2 |
| 14 Oct. 1951 |
GRA
2 - 1
ATB
77%
13%
10%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1951 |
ATB
3 - 1
ALI
65%
17%
17%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |