Real Murcia vs Cartagena F.C. UCAM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.9%
7.1%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1983 |
CCF
0 - 2
MUR
33%
29%
38%
|
74 | 52 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1983 |
MUR
4 - 2
OVI
75%
17%
9%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1983 |
ALA
1 - 2
MUR
34%
29%
37%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1983 |
MUR
1 - 1
LIN
76%
16%
8%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1983 |
REC
0 - 0
MUR
37%
28%
35%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Cartagena F.C. UCAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1983 |
CFC
5 - 3
ELC
41%
31%
28%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1983 |
MLL
2 - 0
CFC
75%
17%
9%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1983 |
CFC
0 - 0
PAL
45%
29%
26%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1983 |
CAS
2 - 2
CFC
61%
23%
16%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1983 |
CFC
1 - 1
RAY
43%
29%
28%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |