Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 1-3
Real Murcia vs Cartagena F.C. UCAM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.4%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.1%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.4%
11.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 1972 |
HER
0 - 1
MUR
57%
25%
18%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1972 |
MUR
3 - 0
CDT
62%
24%
15%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 1972 |
CUL
1 - 3
MUR
57%
24%
18%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1972 |
MUR
3 - 1
GIM
68%
21%
12%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 1972 |
PON
0 - 1
MUR
52%
28%
20%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Cartagena F.C. UCAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 1972 |
CFC
2 - 0
RAC
81%
13%
6%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1972 |
REC
0 - 0
CFC
32%
30%
39%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1972 |
CFC
2 - 0
BAL
83%
12%
5%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1972 |
CFC
4 - 0
TRJ
87%
10%
4%
|
54 | 33 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1972 |
CDB
1 - 1
CFC
40%
27%
32%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |