Real Murcia vs Cartagena CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.2%
Win probability
3.23
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.1%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.4%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.2%
5.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1941 |
MUR
1 - 0
CAD
71%
16%
13%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1941 |
BET
5 - 1
MUR
63%
19%
18%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 1941 |
MUR
3 - 2
SDC
77%
13%
10%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1941 |
MUR
7 - 1
ELC
83%
10%
7%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1941 |
JFC
4 - 4
MUR
42%
24%
34%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Cartagena CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1941 |
JFC
8 - 5
CAR
69%
17%
14%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1941 |
CAR
1 - 1
MAL
35%
23%
42%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1941 |
ELC
1 - 1
CAR
59%
19%
21%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1941 |
CAD
7 - 0
CAR
77%
14%
10%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 1941 |
CAR
1 - 2
BET
21%
25%
53%
|
47 | 74 | 27 | 0 |