Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 4-3
Real Murcia vs Cartagena CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.4%
Win probability
3.1
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
7%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
9%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.9%
7.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1941 |
CAR
1 - 2
MUR
34%
23%
43%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1941 |
ZAR
2 - 1
MUR
72%
16%
13%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 1941 |
MUR
2 - 5
VCF
22%
19%
59%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1941 |
FCB
3 - 0
MUR
83%
11%
7%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 1941 |
MUR
1 - 3
ATH
26%
23%
51%
|
64 | 87 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Cartagena CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1941 |
CAR
1 - 2
MUR
34%
23%
43%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1941 |
CAR
2 - 0
ELC
63%
18%
19%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 1941 |
ELC
1 - 1
CAR
58%
20%
23%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1941 |
CAR
3 - 0
RCD
62%
18%
20%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 1941 |
RCD
2 - 2
CAR
57%
20%
23%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |