Real Murcia vs Cartagena CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.9%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.9%
3-0
9%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
9.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1928 |
VCF
3 - 1
MUR
74%
15%
11%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1928 |
SEV
1 - 2
MUR
71%
16%
13%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 1928 |
BET
1 - 3
MUR
74%
15%
11%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | +2 |
| 26 Feb. 1928 |
MUR
5 - 1
LEV
74%
15%
11%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1928 |
CAR
2 - 2
MUR
28%
24%
49%
|
60 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Cartagena CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1928 |
CAR
4 - 2
BET
23%
23%
54%
|
47 | 76 | 29 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1928 |
CAR
4 - 1
VCF
21%
23%
57%
|
45 | 78 | 33 | +2 |
| 04 Mar. 1928 |
CAR
4 - 1
LEV
47%
23%
30%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +2 |
| 26 Feb. 1928 |
SEV
1 - 0
CAR
84%
11%
6%
|
43 | 75 | 32 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1928 |
CAR
2 - 2
MUR
28%
24%
49%
|
43 | 60 | 17 | 0 |