Real Murcia vs Cádiz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
31.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
MUR
1 - 1
VIL
59%
25%
16%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
MAR
3 - 1
MUR
22%
28%
50%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
MUR
1 - 2
HER
45%
27%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
ALC
1 - 0
MUR
29%
27%
44%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
CAR
0 - 0
MUR
20%
25%
55%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Cádiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
CAD
4 - 2
CAR
72%
19%
9%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
REC
0 - 0
CAD
49%
26%
25%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
CAD
1 - 3
GRA
17%
23%
60%
|
62 | 82 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2015 |
CAD
0 - 0
ATM
11%
24%
65%
|
62 | 93 | 31 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2015 |
CAD
1 - 1
ATH
51%
25%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |