Real Murcia vs Cádiz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
16.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1942 |
HER
3 - 0
MUR
67%
17%
16%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1942 |
MUR
3 - 0
ALC
78%
13%
9%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 1942 |
FCB
5 - 1
MUR
82%
11%
7%
|
61 | 83 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1942 |
VAD
3 - 1
MUR
54%
20%
25%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -2 |
| 17 May. 1942 |
VAD
4 - 1
MUR
49%
21%
30%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Cádiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1942 |
CAD
0 - 1
JFC
72%
16%
12%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1942 |
ELC
1 - 1
CAD
36%
23%
41%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1942 |
CAD
4 - 1
MUR
54%
21%
25%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +2 |
| 21 Dec. 1941 |
JFC
2 - 3
CAD
48%
22%
30%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1941 |
CAD
4 - 0
MAL
55%
22%
23%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +2 |