Real Murcia vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
41.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1944 |
ATM
4 - 3
MUR
78%
13%
9%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1944 |
MUR
3 - 1
SEV
36%
24%
41%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 1944 |
ATH
5 - 1
MUR
81%
12%
8%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 1944 |
MUR
2 - 1
VCF
35%
22%
43%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1944 |
DEP
3 - 1
MUR
55%
21%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1944 |
FCB
2 - 1
SAB
81%
11%
7%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1944 |
CAS
0 - 1
FCB
40%
22%
37%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1944 |
FCB
4 - 2
GRA
74%
14%
12%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 1944 |
FCB
0 - 1
OVI
70%
15%
15%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1944 |
ATM
1 - 1
FCB
60%
18%
22%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |