Real Murcia vs Barakaldo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
16%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1999 |
MUR
1 - 0
VAL
55%
24%
21%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1999 |
GAV
1 - 1
MUR
35%
26%
39%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1999 |
MUR
4 - 3
ONT
64%
22%
14%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1999 |
YEC
4 - 1
MUR
32%
29%
39%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 1999 |
MUR
1 - 2
AGU
66%
21%
13%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1999 |
BAR
1 - 1
ZAR
58%
24%
18%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1999 |
NOJ
2 - 1
BAR
22%
28%
50%
|
52 | 33 | 19 | -1 |
| 09 May. 1999 |
BAR
1 - 0
ATH
49%
26%
25%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 May. 1999 |
BAR
0 - 0
VAL
65%
22%
14%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1999 |
OSA
1 - 1
BAR
34%
29%
37%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |