Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 3-1
Real Murcia vs Barakaldo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.6%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
12%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
14%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14%
6.5%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1970 |
PUE
0 - 1
MUR
63%
23%
15%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1970 |
MUR
2 - 0
RCF
42%
29%
30%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 1970 |
ATH
2 - 0
MUR
47%
26%
27%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 1970 |
BAR
0 - 0
MUR
25%
27%
48%
|
58 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1970 |
MUR
0 - 1
SLA
71%
19%
11%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1970 |
LAU
2 - 0
BAR
29%
27%
44%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1970 |
BAR
7 - 0
CUL
82%
13%
5%
|
41 | 23 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1970 |
BAR
2 - 0
GIM
58%
24%
18%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +2 |
| 04 Feb. 1970 |
BAR
0 - 0
MUR
25%
27%
48%
|
39 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1970 |
RAC
1 - 1
BAR
23%
27%
50%
|
40 | 22 | 18 | -1 |