Real Murcia vs Barakaldo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
22%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1949 |
MUR
4 - 1
RAC
65%
18%
17%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1949 |
GRA
5 - 1
MUR
55%
21%
24%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 1949 |
CAS
4 - 0
MUR
50%
22%
28%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 1949 |
MUR
3 - 0
GIR
71%
17%
13%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1949 |
LEV
2 - 2
MUR
63%
18%
19%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1949 |
BAR
0 - 3
RSO
53%
20%
27%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1949 |
BAD
1 - 2
BAR
54%
21%
25%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 1949 |
BAR
1 - 2
RSO
53%
20%
26%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 1949 |
BAR
3 - 2
MAL
62%
18%
20%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 1949 |
HER
2 - 0
BAR
60%
19%
21%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |