Real Murcia vs Barakaldo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
14.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1943 |
SDC
5 - 1
MUR
51%
21%
29%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1943 |
MUR
4 - 2
SPO
48%
21%
31%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 1943 |
ALC
3 - 2
MUR
43%
23%
34%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1943 |
MUR
3 - 1
CUL
67%
18%
15%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +2 |
| 26 Sep. 1943 |
ARE
0 - 1
MUR
40%
25%
36%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1943 |
BAR
0 - 3
ZAR
51%
22%
27%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1943 |
CON
5 - 1
BAR
63%
19%
18%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 1943 |
BAR
4 - 1
OSA
58%
20%
22%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +2 |
| 03 Oct. 1943 |
BET
4 - 1
BAR
65%
19%
16%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1943 |
BAR
1 - 2
JFC
67%
18%
15%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |