Real Murcia vs CD Badajoz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
17.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1954 |
CAT
2 - 1
MUR
72%
16%
12%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1954 |
RJA
3 - 1
MUR
76%
14%
10%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1954 |
MUR
3 - 0
UDE
65%
18%
17%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 1954 |
MUR
2 - 3
HER
56%
21%
22%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1954 |
CAT
0 - 0
MUR
73%
16%
12%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
CD Badajoz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1954 |
CDB
3 - 1
RJA
54%
21%
25%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1954 |
UDE
5 - 1
CDB
56%
22%
23%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -2 |
| 12 Sep. 1954 |
CDB
4 - 1
TER
83%
10%
7%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 1954 |
CDB
4 - 1
GRA
56%
21%
23%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | +2 |
| 18 Apr. 1954 |
CDB
7 - 0
MEL
72%
15%
13%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +2 |