Real Murcia vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
43.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1946 |
VCF
1 - 2
MUR
83%
11%
6%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1946 |
MUR
0 - 1
FCB
30%
24%
46%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 1946 |
SEV
1 - 1
MUR
85%
10%
6%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 1946 |
MUR
0 - 2
CEL
49%
21%
30%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 1946 |
SAB
1 - 1
MUR
60%
20%
20%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1946 |
ATM
5 - 2
OVI
66%
17%
17%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1946 |
DEP
1 - 0
ATM
31%
25%
45%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1946 |
VCF
0 - 2
ATM
67%
17%
17%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1946 |
ATM
2 - 2
FCB
57%
20%
24%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1946 |
SEV
1 - 2
ATM
64%
17%
18%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |