Real Murcia vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
37.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1945 |
SEV
4 - 0
MUR
79%
12%
9%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1945 |
MUR
2 - 2
ATH
39%
23%
39%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1945 |
MUR
3 - 3
BAR
75%
14%
11%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1945 |
VCF
9 - 3
MUR
82%
11%
7%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 1945 |
MUR
1 - 0
DEP
64%
18%
18%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1945 |
ATM
2 - 0
RCF
85%
9%
5%
|
84 | 57 | 27 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1945 |
ATM
2 - 1
SAB
78%
13%
9%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 1945 |
CAS
2 - 3
ATM
47%
23%
31%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1945 |
BET
1 - 1
ATM
32%
23%
45%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1945 |
ATM
1 - 1
GRA
73%
15%
12%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |