Real Murcia vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
48.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1940 |
HER
4 - 0
MUR
78%
13%
9%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1940 |
RMA
2 - 0
MUR
86%
9%
5%
|
60 | 89 | 29 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1940 |
MUR
0 - 4
RMA
27%
22%
51%
|
61 | 89 | 28 | -1 |
| 05 May. 1940 |
CAD
0 - 2
MUR
60%
19%
21%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 May. 1940 |
MUR
3 - 2
DEP
60%
19%
21%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1940 |
ATM
5 - 4
CEL
70%
16%
14%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1940 |
ATM
7 - 1
ESP
49%
21%
30%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 1940 |
ESP
3 - 3
ATM
68%
16%
16%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1940 |
ATM
2 - 4
ZAR
72%
16%
12%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 May. 1940 |
ZAR
2 - 2
ATM
49%
22%
29%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |