Real Murcia vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
45.3%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 1930 |
MUR
1 - 2
BET
55%
21%
24%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1930 |
OVI
1 - 1
MUR
72%
15%
13%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1930 |
SEV
4 - 1
MUR
73%
15%
12%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 1930 |
MUR
1 - 2
CAS
67%
17%
15%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 1930 |
OVI
5 - 2
MUR
61%
19%
20%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 1930 |
DEP
5 - 2
ATM
32%
23%
45%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1930 |
ATM
2 - 0
SEV
61%
18%
20%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 1930 |
ATM
3 - 0
VCF
59%
19%
22%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1930 |
OVI
4 - 1
ATM
39%
22%
39%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 1930 |
CAS
7 - 1
ATM
30%
23%
47%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | -2 |