Real Murcia vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
10%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
15%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.3%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
24%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1974 |
ZAR
5 - 0
MUR
81%
12%
6%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1974 |
MUR
2 - 2
RMA
28%
28%
44%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 1974 |
MUR
2 - 2
RSO
50%
28%
22%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1974 |
ELC
3 - 0
MUR
50%
29%
21%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 1974 |
MUR
0 - 0
GRA
52%
27%
21%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1974 |
ATH
3 - 0
ELC
66%
21%
13%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1974 |
GRA
1 - 1
ATH
53%
26%
20%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1974 |
ATH
0 - 1
BET
64%
22%
15%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1974 |
CEL
1 - 0
ATH
52%
27%
22%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 1974 |
ATH
1 - 0
ESP
53%
25%
22%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |