Real Murcia vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
39.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1945 |
ATM
0 - 0
MUR
80%
12%
8%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1945 |
MUR
2 - 3
ALC
61%
19%
20%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 May. 1945 |
ESP
1 - 0
MUR
68%
17%
15%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1945 |
MUR
3 - 5
RMA
40%
24%
36%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 1945 |
SPO
4 - 1
MUR
58%
20%
22%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1945 |
ATH
2 - 2
VCF
63%
18%
19%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1945 |
RMA
1 - 1
ATH
64%
18%
18%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 1945 |
ATH
3 - 2
VCF
61%
19%
21%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 1945 |
ATH
4 - 1
ESP
76%
14%
11%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1945 |
ESP
0 - 0
ATH
44%
22%
34%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |