Real Murcia vs Almería analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
25.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
VIL
2 - 0
MUR
72%
20%
9%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
MUR
1 - 1
ATM
31%
28%
42%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
LEV
0 - 0
MUR
62%
23%
15%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
MUR
2 - 1
ZAR
28%
27%
45%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2007 |
MUR
1 - 4
CDT
60%
23%
18%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
ALM
1 - 1
MLL
40%
26%
34%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
RMA
3 - 1
ALM
83%
12%
5%
|
80 | 93 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
ALM
1 - 2
VCF
27%
27%
46%
|
80 | 91 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
DEP
0 - 3
ALM
62%
23%
15%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2007 |
ALM
3 - 0
VEC
77%
16%
8%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | +1 |