Real Murcia vs AD Almería analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
16.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1981 |
VAD
1 - 0
MUR
58%
24%
18%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1981 |
MUR
1 - 1
RMA
24%
26%
50%
|
69 | 89 | 20 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 1981 |
ZAR
1 - 6
MUR
78%
15%
7%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 1981 |
MUR
1 - 1
SLA
56%
24%
20%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 1981 |
FCB
1 - 0
MUR
86%
10%
4%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
AD Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1981 |
ALM
0 - 0
SEV
44%
26%
31%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1981 |
ATH
5 - 1
ALM
79%
14%
7%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 1981 |
LEV
3 - 0
ALM
51%
23%
26%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 1981 |
ALM
2 - 1
ATM
33%
27%
40%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 1981 |
ALM
1 - 1
VAD
64%
21%
15%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |