Real Murcia vs AD Almería analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
18.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1979 |
CAS
3 - 1
MUR
51%
28%
21%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1979 |
MUR
0 - 0
RCF
75%
16%
8%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1979 |
BET
3 - 0
MUR
75%
17%
8%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1979 |
MUR
1 - 0
ALA
62%
20%
18%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 1979 |
MUR
2 - 0
TER
68%
20%
12%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
AD Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1979 |
ALM
2 - 0
ELC
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1979 |
DEP
0 - 0
ALM
62%
22%
16%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1979 |
ALM
3 - 1
ALA
58%
24%
18%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 1979 |
SAB
2 - 1
ALM
56%
24%
20%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1979 |
ALM
1 - 0
OSA
70%
17%
13%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |