Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 9-3
Real Murcia vs Alicante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
92.1%
Win probability
3.56
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1.2%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.4%
7-0
2.7%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
<0%
+7
3.2%
6-0
5.2%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
6.5%
5-0
8.8%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
11.3%
4-0
12.4%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
16.7%
3-0
14%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20.1%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
5.9%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
2.8%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
5.9%
1.9%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.6%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1979 |
ELC
0 - 0
MUR
70%
19%
11%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1979 |
MUR
1 - 1
CAD
52%
25%
23%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1979 |
ALG
0 - 1
MUR
53%
26%
21%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1979 |
MUR
2 - 1
CAD
50%
26%
25%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 1979 |
MUR
1 - 1
ELC
52%
27%
21%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Alicante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1979 |
ALI
2 - 0
PAT
57%
25%
18%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1979 |
ALC
3 - 1
ALI
83%
12%
5%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 1968 |
ELC
2 - 1
ALI
86%
10%
4%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1968 |
ALI
3 - 0
ORI
60%
22%
18%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1968 |
AGU
2 - 1
ALI
68%
18%
14%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |