Real Murcia vs Algeciras CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.8%
Win probability
3.42
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.2%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.8%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.2%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.8%
9.1%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.1%
5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1956 |
CAS
1 - 2
MUR
36%
27%
38%
|
68 | 48 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1956 |
MUR
3 - 0
CCF
80%
12%
8%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 1956 |
XER
1 - 1
MUR
49%
24%
27%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1956 |
MUR
4 - 2
SFE
82%
11%
7%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1956 |
LEV
1 - 0
MUR
44%
25%
31%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Algeciras CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1956 |
ALG
2 - 2
MAL
58%
21%
21%
|
39 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1956 |
EXT
3 - 1
ALG
80%
12%
8%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1956 |
ALG
1 - 1
SDC
59%
20%
21%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1956 |
PUE
2 - 1
ALG
57%
20%
23%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 1956 |
ALG
0 - 1
GRA
58%
20%
22%
|
41 | 61 | 20 | -1 |