Real Murcia vs Alcoyano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
19.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1954 |
VAL
1 - 0
MUR
68%
18%
15%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1954 |
MUR
2 - 1
MLL
72%
15%
13%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1954 |
MUR
3 - 1
CAS
75%
15%
11%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 1954 |
CDB
5 - 0
MUR
73%
15%
12%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -2 |
| 10 Jan. 1954 |
MUR
0 - 2
GRA
58%
21%
21%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1954 |
ALC
1 - 1
HER
61%
19%
20%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1954 |
CDB
2 - 1
ALC
60%
20%
20%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 1954 |
ALC
0 - 0
GRA
66%
18%
16%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1954 |
MLL
0 - 0
ALC
56%
21%
23%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1954 |
ALC
4 - 3
CAS
77%
14%
9%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | +1 |