Real Murcia vs Alcoyano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.9%
25.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1951 |
CAR
1 - 4
MUR
52%
21%
27%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1951 |
MUR
0 - 0
MAL
42%
23%
35%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1951 |
BAL
7 - 1
MUR
56%
20%
24%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 1951 |
ZAR
3 - 2
MUR
67%
16%
17%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 1951 |
MUR
5 - 2
SAB
74%
14%
12%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1951 |
ALC
4 - 0
RCD
62%
19%
19%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1951 |
GRA
0 - 1
ALC
54%
21%
24%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 1951 |
ALC
5 - 2
HER
56%
21%
24%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 1951 |
ALC
1 - 4
VAD
39%
24%
38%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1951 |
MUR
3 - 1
ALC
57%
20%
23%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |